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A well-known polling analysis website has Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race listed as a toss-up but says Democrat Josh Shapiro is highly likely to win the governor’s seat.

The latest computer modeling by in the all-important Senate race between Democrat John Fetterman and Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz, has Fetterman winning 51% of the time and Oz 49% in 40,000 computer simulations.

Among 100 samples provided by FiveThirtyEight, the results ranged from Fetterman winning 63% to 34% to Oz winning 57% to 41%.

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